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Israeli, Iranian attacks and accusations to continue
Last Updated(Beijing Time):2012-02-15 00:35

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was quick to blame Iran for bombing attacks on Monday that injured the wife of an Israeli diplomat in New Delhi. A car belonging to the embassy was targeted by a bomb attached by a man on a motorbike.

Earlier in the day in Tbilisi, an Israeli embassy employee found an explosive device attached to his car, which sappers successful disarmed before it detonated.

The attacks come at a time of high tensions between Israel and Iran over Tehran's alleged nuclear weapon program. In the last two years, four Iranian scientists connected to the program has been assassinated and a fifth wounded.

Iran has blamed Israel for the attacks against Iranian scientists. While the Jewish state has denied any involvement, Israeli politicians have expressed their satisfaction with the attacks' results.

Despite the accusation against Iran by Netanyahu and Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman, an unnamed government source quoted by local newspaper Ha'aretz said that Israel isn't expected to respond harshly to the attacks.

"Iran is sure that Israel was behind the attacks (on its scientists) even though it was never confirmed. Iran and (Lebanon' s Shiite armed group) Hezbollah will try to continue this line to respond to what they call terror attacks by Israel," Moshe Marzuk of the International Institute for Counter-Terrorism in Herzliya told Xinhua on Tuesday.

"The timing is exactly on what we call 'Imad Mughniyah Day.' And the second reason is what they called the terror attacks against nuclear scientists in Iran," he added.

Mughniyah, Hezbollah's military chief, was assassinated in a car bombing in Damascus four years ago. Hezbollah has accused Israel of carrying out the attack but the Jewish state has categorically denied any involvement in the deed.

ONGOING STRUGGLE

Prof. Barry Rubin of the Global Research in International Affairs (GLORIA) Center said that one can expect that this kind of actions and counter attacks would continue, since Hezbollah and similar militant groups would always try to strike at Israel - without any need for an additional motive such as revenge for a slain leader.

"Sometimes you won't see it but it will still be happening, and this is the most important thing people have to understand about terrorism," Rubin said, "that it's an ongoing struggle and that a majority of the attacks fail."

Rubin said that "People make a serious mistake when they write about terrorism and only count the successful attacks," he said, adding that for every successful attack there are four to five that fail.

Rubin argued that when it comes to dealing with these kinds of threats, while there is no permanent solution, in counterterrorism the goal is to defend yourself and to weaken the forces attacking you.

"But you can keep its effectiveness close to zero, which is pretty much what happened," Rubin said.

Ever since the assassination of Mughniyah, Hezbollah has tried to strike Israeli targets overseas, but so far none of the group's attempts is successful. Israel has threatened that if Hezbollah undertakes an attack that leads to a large number of casualties, an assault on Hezbollah in Lebanon would be launched.

OTHER COUNTRIES

Dr. Dan Schueftan of the University of Haifa said that Monday's attacks wouldn't be the last, because "there is nothing new in this phenomenon, there are only ups and downs in something that has been there for generations."

Schueftan believes it is unlikely that countries like India, where such attacks took place, would be less willing to cooperate with Israel in the future or house Israeli embassies.

One country that has over the last few weeks been very much on the forefront of the Israeli-Iranian fault line is Azerbaijan. An anonymous source - allegedly a Mossad (Israel's foreign intelligence service) agent - told The Times that the capital Baku was brimming with Israeli agents, who used it as a base to spy on Iran.

The publication led to Iran summoning the Azerbaijani ambassador, and demanding that his nation stop Israel from using their territory to launch attacks on Iran.

"At least, at the moment the Azerbaijanis are not about to capitulate," Schueftan noted.

"I can't say anything in the long run, but in terms of the near future I don't see the Azerbaijanis caving in to these pressures," he added.

Source:Xinhua 
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